Nearly every part of the UK has been subjected to a weather warning for wind, rain or both over the last 10 days as a ferocious autumnal blast catches up with Britain. Temperatures have dropped, the chilly air is here – and as interactive maps show, this week will be packed with much of the same. In fact, just when one band of rain moves eastwards over Europe, another comes in off the Atlantic seeing the entire process repeated like a pendulum. That’s until at least this weekend when the weather may temporarily settle down – with calmer conditions not expected to arrive until the start of December.
Jim Dale, senior meteorologist for British Weather Services, said: “It will affect mainly western UK with wind and rain. There are lower profile warnings but certainly inclement.
“There won’t be any flash flooding but in Northern Ireland it will be in the mix for localised sustained rain flooding today. It is normal for the time of year, the jet stream etc. Also a natural climate balancing affect of the hot dry summer. This was always going to happen.”
Mr Dale said he suspects November will be one of the wettest on record with many parts of the UK suffering from flash floods in last few days. Parts of eastern Scotland were under an amber weather warning for rain where downpours caused roads to turn into lakes and disrupted public transport networks.
While the Met Office is yet to activate anymore warnings this week, this is always subject to change.
Netweather forecasters have said the wet weather does look set to gradually ease off during the last days of November.
Forecaster Ian Simpson has spoken about the temperature drop and why some light threats of snow have not yet come off. He said: “The Scandinavian high has come close to delivering a spell of wintry weather to Britain, but the cold air mass, brought on by easterly winds, is set to stay put over southern Scandinavia and the eastern half of the North Sea through the weekend and the early to middle part of next week, while Britain remains in relatively mild air associated with low pressure out in the North Atlantic, bringing southerly winds.
“Another band of rain will spread north-eastwards through the country on Monday, but will stall over northern England and make no progress into Scotland. There will be some snow on the higher ground of northern England.
“Some showers, wintry over high ground, will develop in eastern Scotland as the wind switches to an easterly direction. Tuesday will be a dry and bright day for most, then on Wednesday we can expect more rain (and hill snow in the north) to spread from the south-west.
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“Temperatures will remain close to or slightly below the seasonal average. It looks set to warm up again towards the end of next week with generally southerly winds setting in. There are signs that towards next weekend, the weather will turn more settled with high pressure building to the east of Britain.”
The Met Office has given its verdict for this week and has added: “Tonight it will be mostly dry with clear spells in far northwest. Elsewhere, outbreaks of rain for many, heavy in places. Strong winds in the southwest. Some fog patches and icy stretches central England.
“On Tuesday variable cloud with sunny spells but also some showers, especially in the south and northeast where they could be heavy. Some fog in central parts, slow to clear in places.
“From Wednesday to Friday, rather unsettled with showers or longer spells of rain interspersed with some drier, brighter periods. Often windy, especially along coasts with a risk of gales.”
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Looking into December, conditions are likely to settle. This could bring a risk of snow, but forecasters are remaning tight-lipped over any early signs due to confidence being low so far in advance.
The Met Office forecast for the first half of December says: “Confidence is low, although not unusually so. The most likely outcome is that conditions will become generally more settled as high pressure moves towards or over the UK, bringing drier and calmer weather than of late, especially in the north.
“Temperatures are likely to trend from near average towards below average at times, with an increased risk of frost and fog. Any spells of more unsettled weather are more likely to be across the south of the UK, at least for a time, whilst northern areas remain drier.”